Tuesday 2 July 2013

UK construction sector grows for second consecutive month

Markit/CIPS construction PMI hits highest level since May 2012, fuelling hopes for faster economic growth
The UK's construction sector grew for a second month in June, boosted by a rise in house building and supporting expectations that economic growth accelerated in the second quarter.
Growth in output and new orders pushed the Markit/CIPS construction purchasing managers' index (PMI) to 51 from 50.8 in May, where anything above 50 indicates expansion. It was the highest level since May 2012.
Companies reported rising levels of client demand and larger volumes of new work.
Economists said the positive data raised the chances of stronger second-quarter growth than the 0.3% in the first three months of the year.
The positive news will be welcomed by the Bank of England's new governor, Mark Carney, who will oversee his first monetary policy committee decision on Thursday.
"June's construction data is one of the final pieces in the puzzle when it comes to survey evidence for second-quarter UK economic performance, and the sector's upturn adds to the upbeat news flow ahead of Mark Carney's first policy meeting at the Bank of England later this week," said Tim Moore, senior economist at Markit.
Construction sector employment rose for the first time since FebruaryHousing construction grew at the strongest rate in June according to the PMI, helped by the government's incentive schemes, although growth slowed to 51.5 from 54.4 on the index.
Commercial and civil engineering activity hit 50.1 and 50 respectively, improving after several months of contraction.
Employment in the sector rose for the first time since February and at the fastest rate since September, driven by the rising levels of new work and an improved outlook.
Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight, said that although the positive survey reinforced the likelihood that the MPC will not announce additional stimulus this week, more quantitative easing was possible in August.
"This reflects our belief that Mark Carney is likely to be keen to build up escape velocity from extended economic weakness," he said.
Article Source : http://www.guardian.co.uk
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Bank of England condemns lobbying by banks against new rules

Deputy governor of the Bank of England, Paul Tucker has called for new measures to be introduced before the end of the year
City regulators have brushed aside complaints by Barclays and Nationwide over tough new liquidity rules, saying UK banks would need to put them into effect as soon as possible, years ahead of an international deadline of 2018.
The deputy governor of the Bank of England, Paul Tucker, responsible for financial stability, said lobbying against the change by the banks was "completely unacceptable", and regulators would not be deflected "one iota" from the task.
He told MPs the rules should be introduced before the end of the year to curb the risk exposure of Britain's highly leveraged banks.
Barclays and Nationwide complained vociferously against the "shock" decision by regulators last month to fast-track the new rules, which they said would harm their finances and ability to lend.
At a meeting last week Mervyn King, the former Bank of England governor, told MPs that large banks' executives had lobbied the Treasury and No 10 to block the rule changes before 2015.
Barclays hinted that it could restrict lending to households and businesses if the rules were to bite this year.
The row comes as US regulators on Tuesday made clear they intended to push ahead with the new rules on bank borrowing levels and higher reserves ahead of deadlines established by the Bank for International Settlements.
Much to the annoyance of the head of JP Morgan, Jamie Dimon, and of highly leveraged banks such as Wells Fargo, Dan Tarullo, the Federal Reserve governor in charge of regulation, promised a stricter lending ratio, tying the amount banks can lend to the equity held by shareholders.
He said the reserve was close to putting forward a plan that would place a tougher cap on leverage for US banks.
"The Basel III leverage ratio seems to have been set too low to be an effective counterpart to the combination of risk-weighted capital measures that have been agreed internationally," he said.
Banks have complained vociferously that regulators are demanding they move more quickly to safer levels of capital and lending.
The Tory MP Andrew Tyrie, who heads the Treasury select committee, said he was concerned that the banks were throwing their weight around.
Andrew Bailey, who heads the Prudential Regulation Authority, which will monitor banks and insurers, confirmed that George Osborne was approached by several banks over the new rules, but that the PRA's independence was confirmed by the chancellor.
"We are certainly aware that there are conversations that happened between the banks and officials and ministers," he said. "The thing that concerns me is that we are trying to build, frankly, a transparent process that has accountability in it."
Martin Taylor, a former Barclays chief and an external member of the financial policy committee, which will guard the financial system from a repeat of the 2008 crash, said: "The reason the banks are squawking is that the PRA and Andrew Bailey are doing their job, and you might say about time too."
Bailey said that banks were behind schedule in cleaning up their balance sheets after suffering extra costs from the payment protection insurance scandal and the euro crisis last year.
Paul Tucker told MPs new regulations should be implemented sooner to curb the risk exposure of Britain's highly leveraged banksHe said he wanted the rule in place as soon as possible and that regulatory staff were looking at banks' plans for how they could implement it.
"We have made clear that we will go through these with the public, with the institutions during the course of this month. And we will publish. We will make clear what the outcome of that is," Bailey told MPs.
The PRA said on 20 June that it would set a leverage ratio of 3% for UK banks, which would limit the amount they could lend relative to their capital.
Barclays has a leverage ratio of 2.5% after adjustments, while the Nationwide could only manage a 2% ratio.
Tyrie said: "FPC members today made clear that they feel a 3% leverage ratio is an appropriate minimum backstop and that the FPC can make recommendations in this area, even without an explicit power of direction. Bank lobbying of government only serves to reinforce the need for the power to set the leverage ratio to lie with the independent FPC, not the Treasury."
Lloyds is expected to split 600 branches into a separate business next year to increase competition in the banking sector following an attempt to sell the new business to the Co-op, which fell through.
The MP Jesse Norman asked Bailey why the Co-op's reported "lack of reserves" came as a surprise in December 2012 to Lloyds, when regulators were supposed to be aware of shortfalls.
Bailey said regulators discovered in 2011 that the Co-op was suffering from poor leadership and governance, coupled with a shortage of capital and liquidity. He said the Co-op was made aware of its concerns and he understood that Lloyds was informed.
The collapse of the deal proved an embarrassment to the Treasury, which had trumpeted it as part of wider reforms of the banking sector to make it more competitive.
Tyrie said there was a discrepancy between the testimony of Lloyds chiefs and the regulator.
"The chairman of Lloyds, Sir Win Bischoff, told the Treasury committee that Lloyds became aware of a potential capital shortfall at the Co-operative Group in December 2012. Andrew Bailey today said that he told the Co-op's board that it should inform Lloyds of the regulator's concerns, including over its capital levels, more than a year beforehand.
"[Bailey] also told us he has evidence to suggest his requests were complied with. The Treasury committee will want to look at whether the regulator's message got through, how it was conveyed and what, if any, action was taken."
Article Source : http://www.guardian.co.uk
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Angela Merkel: youth unemployment is most pressing problem facing Europe

In interview with the Guardian, chancellor promotes merits of Germany's dual system of schooling and work experience, and says she regrets impact of eurozone crisis on young people
Angela Merkel has said youth unemployment is the biggest crisis facing Europe and urged other governments to do more to copy the German system – concentrating on apprenticeships and not simply academic study – to prevent the emergence of a "lost generation".
In an interview before a summit to tackle joblessness among young Europeans, the German chancellor said her country's tried and tested dual system – a mix of classroom learning and on-the-shop-floor work experience – was the best way forward at a time when almost six million under-25s in Europe are out of work.
"Youth unemployment is perhaps the most pressing problem facing Europe at the present time," she told the Guardian and five other European newspapers. "We in Germany have learned a lot from successfully reducing unemployment by means of structural reform since reunification and we can now bring that experience to bear."
Twenty European Union heads of state and all of the bloc's 28 labour ministers have descended on Berlin to hammer out concrete measures to deal with the problem. Economists say the young generation faces the very real prospect of ending up worse off – materially, professionally and socially – than their parents because of the evaporation of jobs in Europe.
Hundreds of twentysomethings have told the Guardian of their endless job frustrations: receiving rejections because they are overqualified, writing scores of unanswered letters, unable to build a life without a job to structure it around.
Merkel has been blamed for compounding the situation by insisting that southern European economies balance their books rather than spend money on job-creating policies. But she dismissed the suggestion that her jobs drive was a way of boosting Germany's poor public image abroad three months before she faces a general election.
She said the Berlin conference on Wednesday was about best practice, pointing out that Germany had halved its youth unemployment since 2005. "We are now in a position to offer a place on a [dual system] training programme to every young person who wants one," she said. "That wasn't always the case … One thing that experience taught us is that there is of course no need for any country to introduce the whole dual system straight away. Inter-company vocational training can be an alternative.
"We should not just try to make our young people more academic," she said. "Germany is seeing the positive effects of skilled workers and master craftsmen having an excellent reputation too."
Angela Merkel is hosting summit in Berlin to tackle joblessness among young EuropeansMerkel exhorted young Europeans as well as employers to become more flexible, calling for greater mobility in Europe. She said that with language barriers often preventing mobility, she wanted to open up the Erasmus exchange programme to include vocational training.
Five years of economic crisis have prompted thousands of Europeans to migrate in search of work. Southern Europeans are now coming to Germany in record numbers, and Merkel quipped that while not all of them would enjoy the conditions offered to the Spaniard Pep Guardiola as Bayern Munich's new coach, they would be given good chances in Germany.
"We have no intention of expanding the low-wage sector, as there is a great demand for skilled workers, which cannot always be met by Germans, although they remain of course our first priority. To reiterate, Europe needs a more mobile labour market. To that end, the way students and academics move around the single market as a matter of course could be better reflected among skilled workers."
Last week Europe earmarked an extra €6bn to tackle youth unemployment. However, Merkel said: "Money alone won't be enough. We will need intelligent reform."
She stressed that contrary to widespread accusations that Germany was trying to impose its ideals and economic models on souther European countries, she did not expect everyone to conform to the strict German model.
"It's absolutely fine for a country to want to structure its economy in a completely different way to Germany's," she said. "I'm always pleased to see different roads leading to success. But what nobody can negate is the need to be competitive and to work for and earn prosperity. When I look at Italy, Spain or Greece I do see very different, successful industries.
"What is crucial is that we all realise how much the world has changed. China, India, Brazil, South Korea and many other countries have been competing with us [Europe] for quite some time in areas we used to dominate … We either offer those parts of the world attractive and innovative products, or we resign ourselves to losing market shares and therefore prosperity, which is precisely what I do not want, either for Germany or for Europe".
Speaking on the sixth floor in the cuboid chancellery in Berlin, with its sweeping views over the Tiergarten park and the sea of cranes that continue to reconstruct the German capital almost 23 years since reunification, Merkel said it was up to governments to solve the problems so as to prevent the social unrest that has been increasingly visible on the streets of southern European towns and cities in recent years.
"When things start to become dysfunctional, it is the job of politicians to remedy the situation. Youth unemployment has been much too high in some countries for many years and now the crisis has driven it even higher. That is unsustainable in a continent with an ageing population. We must not allow there to be a lost generation".
Merkel said the plight of young people was one of her major regrets about the crisis. "I am sorry that it is often those who had absolutely nothing to do with those wrong turnings, the young or the poor, who bear the brunt of the hardship today … It is highly regrettable that parts of the economic elite assume so little responsibility for the deplorable situation."
Highlighting another cultural difference between the approaches taken to the crisis by Germany and other parts of Europe, Merkel said the word "austerity" had entered her vocabulary for the first time only after the crisis had been well under way, as she preferred the term "sound budgeting".
"I see no dichotomy between sound budgeting and growth," she said. "The road we have now started on is therefore the right one, with budget consolidation on one side and fundamental structural reform on the other. That is what will bring sustainable growth."
Asked whether she had ever personally faced the worry of being out of work, Merkel – the daughter of a protestant pastor who moved his family to communist East Germany when she was six weeks old – said: "Fortunately not. In the first few years when I became a politician, I did sometimes think about what I would do if my political career suddenly came to an end.
"I imagined running a jobcentre," she said. "It's a pleasant task to help people find work."
She said her experience as an MP since 1990 in the northern state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, where the unemployment rate has dropped from 25% to 10% in recent years, had taught her how important it was to have experienced advisers on hand helping young people on a local level. "The [young people] need both to be given hope and to be pushed into investing their own energies … that can't be done centrally by Madrid or Berlin."
So has she now, on a far grander scale than she might ever have imagined, finally fulfilled her wish by becoming Europe's jobs tsar?
"No," she answered, appearing faintly annoyed by the question. "My task is to set the right political course in Germany and alongside my colleagues in Europe."
Article Source : http://www.guardian.co.uk
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Ocado 'well positioned to benefit from online growth' despite another loss

Online grocer hails growth in customer numbers and average spend as it announces pre-tax loss of £3.8m
The online grocer Ocado has insisted it is making progress despite remaining in the red in the first half of the year.
The retailer said growth in customer numbers and average basket values, as well as its 25-year deal with the supermarket chain Morrisons, were signs that it was well-placed to benefit from the growth in the online grocery market.
It made a pre-tax loss of £3.8m in the 24 weeks to 19 May, however, which was bigger than analysts were expecting and compared with a £0.2m pre-tax profit in the same period last year.
Ocado said the loss was driven by advisory costs associated with the Morrisons deal, which is subject to shareholder approval, as well as pre-opening costs of new distribution centres.
Ocado has yet to report an annual pre-tax profitRevenue rose 15.6% to £355.9m, while customer numbers increased to 360,000 from 337,000 at the end of the first half last year. Average spend rose to £114.90 from £113.10.
Tim Steiner, the chief executive, said Ocado was gaining market share. He said: "We believe we remain well positioned to benefit from this continuing growth in online demand with increased optionality and flexibility in how we drive growth and profitability in our business in the future."
He added that the company, which includes Waitrose products in its range, was focused on delivering the agreement with Morrisons, rather than "making a quick announcement about another transaction".
"While we believe that the economic and consumer environment remains challenging, we continue to see that consumers are increasingly looking to shop online for groceries, evidenced by the online growth figures reported across the grocery industry. We expect to continue growing broadly in line with the market," Steiner said.
Ocado appointed Sir Stuart Rose as chairman in May.
Analysts at Exane BNP Paribas said Ocado still had a lot of work to do: "Having signed its first partner, Ocado has made a sizeable step towards being a profitable business but the group still has plenty left to do, not least show its latest technology can work as the group expects and that it can get Morrisons online relatively painlessly."
Article Source : http://www.guardian.co.uk
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EasyJet founder to vote against airline's plan to buy 135 new Airbus planes

Sir Stelios Haji-Ioannou says he will reject £8bn deal over easyJet's failure to disclose discount it secured from Airbus
EasyJet's founder and largest shareholder, Sir Stelios Haji-Ioannou, has said he will vote against the budget airline's plan to buy 135 new aircraft, at an investor meeting later this month.
The company revealed last month that it had agreed to buy 35 current generation A320 aircraft and 100 new generation A320neo aircraft from Airbus, for delivery between 2015 – 2022. It has options to buy a further 100 A320neo planes.
If the deal goes ahead, easyJet will use the new aircraft to replace ageing planes as they leave the fleet, and to facilitate growth.
Haji-Ioannou, who founded the airline in 1995 and owns a 37% stake with his family, said in an open letter to shareholders that he would reject the deal worth around $11.9bn (£8bn) at list prices at the meeting on 11 July.
The easyJet founder said he expected the majority of shareholders to approve the deal with Airbus despite his objectionsIn his latest clash with the easyJet board, he criticised its failure to disclose the level of discount secured from Airbus, describing it as a secret deal, and asking: "Would you eat in a restaurant where the menu has no prices?"
"As the person with the most to gain if this company increases profitability and the most to lose if the outcome from this order is not as promised by the board, it is my firm opinion that this is a good deal for Airbus and a bad deal for easyJet shareholders," he wrote.
He added: "I strongly believe public company directors should be legally held to account for their decisions. I will hold these directors to account, if at some point in the future it turns out that their decision to overcommit the company today was wrong."
Haji-Ioannou said his objections were partly based on a belief that the new order will lead to a hunt for new, unprofitable routes. He also claimed that costs per seat had increased by 25% over the past four years, arguing that if the trend continued, customers were unlikely to pay the "ever increasing ticket prices".
Despite his objections, Haji-Ioannou said he expected the majority of shareholders to approve the plan.
A spokesman for easyJet declined to comment.
Article Source : http://www.guardian.co.uk
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